Volatility Skew and Prospect Theory

Kevin Ann
4 min readMay 14, 2019

A fundamental tenet of options trading is the capture of as much implied volatility (IV) premium as possible as net sellers of options in a high IV context.

To refine my trade entries, management, and exits, I’ve been doing a bit of research to better under:

  • (1) backwards-looking, historical, statistical data in order to formulate
  • (2) forwards-looking, predictive, probabilistic trading

(Note: It’s important to distinguish between (1) and (2) since they’re often conflated. I’ve had debates

--

--

Kevin Ann

AI/full-stack software engineer | trader/investor/entrepreneur | physics phd